Monday Marketing CompanyDesign × Marketing × Technology × Content × AImondaymarketing.company · sales-in@mondaymarketing.company

How long a new brand burns before it turns · Generated 18 October 2026

Inputs used
Contribution per order₹670
CAC today₹900
CAC improvement / month6.0%
Realistic CAC floor₹480
New orders, month 1300
New-order growth / month12.0%
Repeat rate per cycle26.0%
Purchase cycle3 months
Fixed overhead / month₹2,50,000
Cash available₹40,00,000

CAC runway calculator

How long until this stops costing money? No new brand hits break-even CAC on day one: that's normal, and survivable, as long as it's finite. Here's how finite yours is.

Your numbers

Example numbers: replace with your own

Contribution per order is the same number as your break-even CAC.

Economics & acquisition
Contribution per order₹
₹50₹3,000
CAC today₹
₹50₹4,000
CAC falls per month%
0.0%20.0%

Creative, targeting and scale learning. 4 to 8% is typical.

Realistic CAC floor₹
₹50₹3,000
Cash available₹
₹5L₹10Cr
Volume & repeat
New orders, month 1
255,000
New-order growth / month%
0%40%

Faster growth usually deepens the dip before it shortens it.

Repeat rate per cycle%
0%80%
Purchase cyclemo
1 mo12 mo
Fixed overhead / month₹
₹0₹30L
Monthly break-even inMonth 10
TodayMonth 10 youComfortable by M12

You'll burn ₹18.22L getting there, and the cash position climbs back to zero in month 18. Your ₹40L covers it.

Cash to burn first₹18.22LDeepest point of the curve
Cash back to zeroMonth 18
Overpaying by, today₹230Per new customer
Runway on ₹40LSurvives

Your cash position, month by month

It dips, then climbs. The dip is what you need in the bank.

₹-20L₹-10L₹0₹30L₹60LM1M3M5M7M9M11M13M15M17M19M21M24

Monthly profit and loss

Red months are the investment; green months are the return.

₹-4L₹0₹5LM1M3M5M7M9M11M13M15M18
Full 36-month projection
MonthCACNew ordersRepeatMarketingMonthly P&LCash position
M1₹9003000₹2,70,000₹-3,19,000₹-3,19,000
M2₹8463360₹2,84,256₹-3,09,136₹-6,28,136
M3₹7953760₹2,99,265₹-2,97,130₹-9,25,266
M4₹74842178₹3,15,066₹-2,30,415₹-11,55,682
M5₹70347287₹3,31,701₹-2,06,893₹-13,62,574
M6₹66152998₹3,49,215₹-1,79,430₹-15,42,004
M7₹621592130₹3,67,654₹-1,33,906₹-16,75,910
M8₹584663145₹3,87,066₹-95,269₹-17,71,179
M9₹549743163₹4,07,503₹-50,690₹-18,21,869
M10₹516832188₹4,29,019₹4,144₹-18,17,725
M11₹485932210₹4,51,671₹63,471₹-17,54,254
M12₹4801,044235₹5,00,911₹1,06,049₹-16,48,205
M13₹4801,169265₹5,61,021₹1,49,693₹-14,98,512
M14₹4801,309297₹6,28,343₹1,97,656₹-13,00,856
M15₹4801,466333₹7,03,744₹2,51,375₹-10,49,481
M16₹4801,642373₹7,88,193₹3,11,779₹-7,37,702
M17₹4801,839418₹8,82,777₹3,79,192₹-3,58,510
M18₹4802,060468₹9,88,710₹4,54,695₹96,186
M19₹4802,307524₹11,07,355₹5,39,321₹6,35,506
M20₹4802,584587₹12,40,238₹6,34,039₹12,69,546
M21₹4802,894657₹13,89,066₹7,40,124₹20,09,670
M22₹4803,241736₹15,55,754₹8,58,955₹28,68,625
M23₹4803,630824₹17,42,445₹9,92,030₹38,60,655
M24₹4804,066923₹19,51,538₹11,41,073₹50,01,728
M25₹4804,5541,034₹21,85,723₹13,08,006₹63,09,734
M26₹4805,1001,158₹24,48,009₹14,94,967₹78,04,701
M27₹4805,7121,297₹27,41,770₹17,04,363₹95,09,064
M28₹4806,3971,453₹30,70,783₹19,38,888₹1,14,47,952
M29₹4807,1651,627₹34,39,277₹22,01,554₹1,36,49,506
M30₹4808,0251,822₹38,51,990₹24,95,741₹1,61,45,247
M31₹4808,9882,041₹43,14,229₹28,25,230₹1,89,70,477
M32₹48010,0672,286₹48,31,936₹31,94,257₹2,21,64,734
M33₹48011,2752,560₹54,11,769₹36,07,568₹2,57,72,303
M34₹48012,6272,868₹60,61,181₹40,70,477₹2,98,42,779
M35₹48014,1433,212₹67,88,523₹45,88,934₹3,44,31,713
M36₹48015,8403,597₹76,03,145₹51,69,606₹3,96,01,319

Three moves, and what each is worth

Costs nothingMonth 9

Ten more points of repeat rate pulls break-even in from month 10 and cuts the dip to ₹16.17L. Repeat orders cost nothing to acquire.

Counterintuitive₹20.31L

Growing 5 points slower shrinks the cash you need from ₹18.22L to this: fewer customers bought above break-even each month.

The real target₹670

Break-even CAC. Every rupee you take off today's ₹900 shortens the burn from the other end.

Estimates from your inputs, not a forecast.

Paying ₹900 against a break-even CAC of ₹670 means losing money on every new customer, normal for a new brand. Marketing is charged only on new customers here, because repeat orders cost nothing to acquire. That's why repeat rate shortens the burn from both ends at once.

Growing faster usually costs more, not less

More new customers each month at above-break-even CAC deepens the dip even though it pulls the profitable month closer. At 12% growth you need ₹18.22L; at 7% you'd need ₹20.31L. The question isn't how fast you can grow, it's how much of the dip you can fund.

These are your numbers. The next question is what to do about them.Book a 30-minute strategy call, no deck, no pitch, a direct read on what to fix first: calendly.com/mmc-agency-ww/audit-onboarding-calls© Monday Marketing Company · Prepared with the free calculators at mondaymarketing.company/tools/

Questions this calculator answers

How long does a new D2C brand take to reach break-even CAC?

It depends on how far above break-even you start and how fast the account learns. A brand paying 900 rupees against a 670 rupee break-even CAC, improving 6% a month, typically crosses into monthly profit somewhere between month 8 and month 14, but the number that matters is the cumulative cash burned getting there, not the month itself.

How much cash does a new D2C brand need before it turns profitable?

Total burn equals the deepest point of your cumulative cash curve. Every month of losses added together before the first profitable month. It is almost always larger than founders expect, because growing faster increases the trough before it shortens it.

Does growing faster shorten the burn?

Not usually. Faster growth means more new customers acquired above break-even CAC each month, which deepens the cash trough even though it brings the profitable month closer. Repeat rate is the lever that shortens the burn from both ends, because repeat orders cost nothing to acquire.

How the CAC runway calculator works

A new brand often pays more to acquire a customer than that customer is worth on the first order. This calculator shows how long that gap lasts and how much cash it burns. Monday Marketing Company looks at the total burn, not just the month the brand turns profitable.

The formula

CAC in month n = starting CAC × (1 − monthly improvement) ^ n
Gap per new customer = CAC − break-even CAC
Total burn = the deepest point of the cumulative cash curve, the sum of monthly losses before the first profitable month

Worked example

Illustrative numbers, not a benchmark. Starting CAC ₹900, break-even CAC ₹670, CAC improving 6% a month, 100 new customers a month. This example leaves out repeat purchase and fixed costs to show the mechanics.

Month 1: CAC ₹846, gap ₹176 per customer−₹17,600
Month 2: CAC ₹795, gap ₹125−₹12,524
Month 3: CAC ₹748, gap ₹78−₹7,750
Month 4: CAC ₹703, gap ₹33−₹3,267

CAC falls below ₹670 in month 5 (about ₹661), after about ₹41,000 of gap spend over the first four months. The full calculator also models repeat purchase, which is why the month the brand turns profitable usually sits later than the month CAC crosses break-even.

How to read the result

Focus on the total cash needed, not the month of profit. If the burn is larger than the brand can fund, the options are a lower starting CAC, a higher contribution per order, a stronger repeat rate or a slower ramp in new customers. Faster growth brings the profitable month closer but usually deepens the trough, so check the cash line before raising spend.

Growing faster usually deepens the trough, because more customers are acquired above break-even CAC each month. Repeat rate is the lever that shortens the burn, because repeat orders cost nothing to acquire.

Next step

Plan the burn before you spend.

On a call, with a senior strategist. We test your runway against real CAC and show what the first 30 days would look like.

How the audit works
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